An Analysis of the U.S. Budget for Fiscal Years 1960 through 2021
Interview with co-author Mark Febrizio
The president’s FY 2021 budget requests $79.8 billion in regulatory outlays, compared to estimated outlays of $77.8 billion in 2020 (a 0.3 percent increase in real terms). The FY 2020 regulators’ budget is 5.5 percent higher than in 2019.
About the Regulators' Budget Report
The president’s FY 2021 budget would slightly increase overall spending on regulatory agencies over estimated 2020 levels. It requests $79.8 billion in regulatory outlays, compared to estimated outlays of $77.8 billion in 2020. In real (inflation-adjusted) terms, this would mean a 0.3 percent increase in spending. The FY 2020 regulators’ budget is 5.5 percent higher than in 2019. The number of regulators would rise from 286,647 in 2020 to 288,409 in 2021 (a 0.6 percent increase).
While relatively flat, these topline figures obscure large proposed changes in some regulatory agencies. Consistent with previous budget requests from the Trump administration, agencies involved in homeland security functions are scheduled to receive significant increases in both funds and staff. Under the president’s proposal, regulatory activities in the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) would receive a 3.1 percent real increase in resources and a 1.6 percent increase in staff in 2021, building on even larger increases the previous year. The requests for Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and the U.S. Coast Guard are driving these increases in homeland security spending and personnel.
Proposed reductions for agencies with other regulatory functions largely offset increases, keeping regulatory spending relatively flat. While agencies focused on consumer safety and health are set to receive 2.6 percent more in constant dollars, funding for the three other main categories of social regulation—transportation, workplace, and environment and energy—would decline in real terms. Consistent with another trend in recent budget requests, agencies involved in environmental and energy regulation would bear the biggest cuts—a proposed reduction of 13.1 percent below 2020 spending levels in real terms and 10.3 percent below 2020 staffing.
Overall, agencies conducting economic regulation—categorized as finance and banking, industry-specific regulation, and general business—would receive a 0.1 percent increase in real resources. The overall increase stems from 2.5 percent more funding proposed for general business, the largest economic regulation category, while spending for the other two categories would fall under the FY 2021 request.